Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.855792 0.963524 1.080937 1.218618 1.375918 1.550342 1.758843
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.675817 0.817813 0.985319 1.198393 1.463488 1.784082 2.203629
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.597653 0.758310 0.958007 1.226259 1.579872 2.033794 2.666573
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.524881 0.691664 0.907868 1.211411 1.630932 2.196660 3.028072
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.478126 0.651050 0.883553 1.222868 1.711854 2.400858 3.462733
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.431612 0.604583 0.844623 1.206979 1.748708 2.542281 3.818339
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.395262 0.568040 0.814805 1.198999 1.793122 2.695350 4.204764
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.352760 0.518274 0.760605 1.148159 1.765433 2.732945 4.409354
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.333767 0.501486 0.753329 1.167310 1.847010 2.947824 4.926206
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.317703 0.487522 0.748672 1.189276 1.933940 3.178418 5.495307
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.300468 0.470119 0.736820 1.197800 1.998227 3.375852 6.027491
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.283403 0.451515 0.721281 1.198247 2.047769 3.551206 6.538296
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.269585 0.437519 0.712736 1.210823 2.121612 3.780839 7.188695
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.250358 0.413074 0.684810 1.187006 2.127356 3.885995 7.608996
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.241835 0.406104 0.686012 1.215087 2.231456 4.187135 8.466206
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.227167 0.387325 0.665033 1.200322 2.251880 4.326439 8.999835
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.217769 0.377126 0.658429 1.211673 2.323882 4.575674 9.804867
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.205242 0.360394 0.638679 1.195943 2.339730 4.710263 10.369253
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.194809 0.346769 0.623642 1.188044 2.370576 4.879167 11.035503
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.179676 0.323437 0.588785 1.137715 2.307635 4.838063 11.193184
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.174360 0.318243 0.588106 1.156673 2.394489 5.137473 12.229425
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.169685 0.313945 0.588802 1.178419 2.489348 5.465174 13.385615
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.163770 0.306840 0.583443 1.186856 2.555122 5.732186 14.423148